익명으로 한번 해봤다 ㅋㅋㅋ 

 

미경제의 상황을 진행형으로 판단하는 3가지 미시적 팩터들이 있다: 

 

1. S&P 500지수 : 이유는 간단하다, 미국의 500대 주요기업의 경영상황에 따른 실적과 투자흐름을 모아논 Index이기 때문이란 팩트:)

 

2. 10yr Treasury : 흔히 T-Bond라고 불리는 한국으로 치면 정부국채 10년물과 같은 건데 왜 각국의 10년물이 중요한 이유는 향후 경기동향을 보여주기때문

 

3. PCE Index: 흔히 CPI라는 개념에 포함된 건데, 미Fed에서 사용하는 흔히 점도표라고 하는 미경기판단용 물가지수란 팩트:) 

 

 

밑의 로이터 12분전 오늘 미국마켓의 선물장 관련한 리포트를 가져온 이유는 미국의 현재 경제상황을 단적으로 보여주기 떄문이란 것, 즉 지금 현재 S&P500지수는 작년 2018년 사상최고점에서 단 1%(미만) 떨어져 있다는 팩트:) 

 

 Investors are looking to the ongoing first-quarter earnings season to help sustain Wall Street’s rally this year from a selloff in late-2018. The benchmark S&P index is now within a percent of its closing record high hit in September. ( 벤치막 S&P지수는 현재 최고점을 기록했던 2018년 9월에서 1%정도 떨어진 상황이다, : 빠르면 오늘 밤 추월하게 될 것)

 

미국의 미시적 경제상황을 보여주는 3가지 Factor(s)모두 'Headwind' 없이 점점 더 'Tailwind' 을 맞는 상태란 것:) 

즉 미경제의 올해 질적+ 양적성장역시 미무역적자를 조금 씩 줄이며, 4차산업혁명의 가속화가 진행된다는 팩트:) 

 

JP Morgan의 실적과 Johnson & Johnson 의 실적이 예상보다 좋게 나온 건 금융과 Retail Business(소매) 즉 내수경제가 균형적으로 성장중이란 걸 보여주는 부분이란 것!   

 

US STOCKS-Futures rise on boost from upbeat healthcare, bank results

 

(For a live blog on the U.S. stock market, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.)

Futures up: Dow 0.46%, S&P 0.33%, Nasdaq 0.43%

By Amy Caren Daniel

 

April 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Tuesday, getting a lift from a clutch of upbeat quarterly reports from Bank of America, UnitedHealth and Johnson & Johnson.

 

Investors are looking to the ongoing first-quarter earnings season to help sustain Wall Street’s rally this year from a selloff in late-2018. The benchmark S&P index is now within a percent of its closing record high hit in September.

 

UnitedHealth Group Inc rose 1.2% in premarket trading after the largest U.S. health insurer beat quarterly profit estimates and raised its adjusted earnings target for the year. Johnson & Johnson gained 1.0% after the U.S. healthcare conglomerate beat quarterly profit estimates and raised its adjusted sales growth forecast for the year.

 

Bank of America Corp reported a better-than-expected rise in quarterly profit, helped by a growing loan book and cost cuts. Shares were marginally higher. Bank results have been mixed so far. JPMorgan Chase & Co kicked off earnings for the group on a strong note on Friday, but Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Citigroup Inc disappointed on Monday with revenue misses.

Among big names reporting after markets close include Netflix Inc and International Business Machines Corp .

 

Analysts now expect S&P 500 companies to post a 2.1% year-on-year decline in profits, which would mark their first annual decline in earnings since 2016.

 

At 6:54 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 122 points, or 0.46%. S&P 500 e-minis were up 9.5 points, or 0.33% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 33 points, or 0.43%.

 

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc fell 4.6% after the transport and logistics provider’s first-quarter profit and revenue fell short of estimates.

 

On the macro front, industrial production is expected to rise 0.2 percent in March following a 0.1% rise in February. The data is due at 9:15 a.m. ET. (Reporting by Amy Caren Daniel in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)